In June 2020, the owner and director of UnityCars Pvt. Limited (UnityCars), a car rental company in Melbourne, Australia, was reviewing his fleet of vehicles and the company’s operation over the previous few months. The COVID-19 pandemic and related lockdowns had a negative and severe impact on UnityCars’ revenues. The company had expanded rapidly in previous years, becoming highly leveraged, which made it more vulnerable to negative shocks. A sharp reduction in revenues, high expenditures, and the combination of these with the uncertainty of the macro environment had posed a serious threat to the survival of UnityCars. The owner wanted to forecast the company’s operating cash flow and decide whether he should borrow or reorganize the fleet to meet his liquidity needs.
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