Following the surprise Brexit vote, business leaders need to stop worrying about the occasional Black Swan and understand that dealing with unexpected world-changing events is the new normal. Despite some opinions that Britain’s exit from the European Union could be good for Canadian business, nobody knows yet whether the Brexit vote will be good over the long term for Canadian exports, not to mention the loonie. Heightened uncertainty is where the lessons from the Brexit vote can be found for both the public and private sectors. For corporate leaders, the lessons of Brexit are about planning for unexpected events—a prevailing characteristic of the “new normal” caused by more robust mega-trends created by social, economic and political forces. Brexit should drive business leaders to review existing strategy in this much larger context. Winning firms will pay extra attention to agility when planning overall business models, including a portfolio approach to asset configurations and the particular locations of value creation and value extraction. The rise of socio-economic and political mega-trends will trigger the growth of “no-equity” corporations—businesses that are extremely agile and capable in managing across existing and emerging networks and boundaries, thanks to reduced reliance on equity-based business models. Instead of developing contingencies, leading firms will disrupt themselves to come up with new business models that allow them to stay ahead of the competition.
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